Bucks vs. Pacers prediction, odds, pick, spread – 3/11/2025

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The NBA season continues, and we have a tilt between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday. It’s time to continue our NBA odds series with a Bucks-Pacers prediction and pick.

Tuesday's matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers promises to be a battle of playoff contenders. The Bucks are led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 30.9 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game this season, making him a dominant force on both ends. Milwaukee's efficient three-point shooting (38.4%) and solid defense (112.5 points allowed per game) give them an edge. The Pacers enter in hopes of regaining momentum with Tyrese Haliburton's playmaking and Pascal Siakam's scoring inside. While Indiana's offense is potent, Milwaukee's depth and Giannis' dominance should secure the victory.

Here are the Bucks-Pacers NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

NBA Odds: Bucks-Pacers Odds

Milwaukee Bucks: -3.5 (-108)

Moneyline: -148

Indiana Pacers: +3.5 (-112)

Moneyline: +126

Over: 233.5 (-112)

Under: 233.5 (-108)

How To Watch Bucks vs. Pacers

Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT

TV: TNT

*Watch NBA games LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access | Save $30)*

Why the Bucks Could Cover the Spread/Win

The Milwaukee Bucks are poised to win and cover the spread against the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night, thanks to their elite talent and consistent performance. Giannis Antetokounmpo, averaging 30.8 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, remains one of the most dominant players in the league and is coming off a string of stellar performances despite recent injury concerns24. His ability to control both ends of the floor will be pivotal against a Wizards team that struggles defensively, allowing opponents to score efficiently. Brook Lopez's interior presence and three-point shooting also provide Milwaukee with an additional edge.

The Wizards have been one of the league's weakest teams this season, sitting at just 13-49 overall and 5-23 on the road37. While Jordan Poole and Corey Kispert provide offensive sparks, Washington lacks the depth and defensive consistency to counter Milwaukee's balanced attack. The Bucks' strong perimeter defense will likely disrupt Poole's scoring rhythm, while their rebounding dominance led by Giannis and Lopez will limit second-chance opportunities for Washington. With Milwaukee's ability to dictate pace and capitalize on their offensive efficiency (60.5% FG), expect them to pull away early and maintain control throughout the game, securing a convincing victory while covering the spread.

Why the Pacers Could Cover the Spread/Win

The Indiana Pacers have a legitimate chance to win or cover the spread against the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday night, thanks to their recent form and home-court advantage. Led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, the Pacers have shown resilience and adaptability, particularly in their three-game home win streak. Haliburton's exceptional playmaking skills will be crucial in navigating Milwaukee's defense, while Siakam's versatility allows him to exploit mismatches both inside and outside. Indiana's ability to shoot from beyond the arc (36.5% three-point shooting) could also stretch Milwaukee's defense and create scoring opportunities.

The Bucks, despite their strong roster, have faced challenges without Giannis Antetokounmpo at full strength due to recent injuries. Even with Giannis on the court, the Pacers’ quickness and agility could pose problems for Milwaukee’s defense, especially if they can force turnovers and capitalize on fast breaks. Additionally, the Pacers have been competitive against top-tier teams this season, often keeping games close even in losses. Given their recent momentum and the Bucks’ potential vulnerabilities, Indiana could push Milwaukee to the limit. Suppose they can maintain their defensive intensity and limit Milwaukee’s three-point shooting. In that case, the Pacers have a solid chance of covering the spread or even securing an upset victory at home.

Final Bucks-Pacers Prediction & Pick

Tuesday night’s matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers promises to be a closely contested affair. The Bucks, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, are known for their dominant offense and strong defense, but they have shown some inconsistency recently. Giannis, averaging 30.9 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, will be the focal point of Milwaukee’s attack. However, the Pacers have been playing well at home with a 19-9 record at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Pacers, fueled by Tyrese Haliburton’s playmaking and Pascal Siakam’s scoring, have the potential to challenge the Bucks. Haliburton’s ability to create for himself and others, combined with Siakam’s versatility, could exploit Milwaukee’s defense if they are not fully focused. Additionally, Myles Turner’s three-point shooting (40.4%) could stretch the Bucks’ defense and create opportunities for Indiana. Despite these challenges, Milwaukee’s depth and Giannis’ dominance should ultimately secure them a hard-fought victory. The game will be a battle of strengths, with Milwaukee’s power against Indiana’s speed and agility to come away with the ATS victory on the road Tuesday night.

Final Bucks-Pacers Prediction & Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 (-108), Over 233.5 (-112)

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